據(jù)6月30日Neftegaz.RU消息：自本月初以來，俄羅斯原油和凝析油產(chǎn)量約為1042萬桶/天，低于5月份1045萬桶/天的平均水平。

　　其他未透露姓名的消息人士對路透表示，產(chǎn)量下降的原因可能與老油田增產(chǎn)困難有關(guān)。

　　早在去年，歐佩克+就曾討論過這種困難，當(dāng)時歐佩克同意減少約770萬桶/天的產(chǎn)量，以應(yīng)對疫情造成的需求破壞。

　　石油行業(yè)高管Evgeny Kolesnik在2020年5月接受彭博社采訪時表示：

　　在俄羅斯的氣候條件下，油井的大規(guī)模封閉比短期閑置嚴(yán)重得多；

　　到目前為止，還不能確定，在關(guān)閉油井這么長時間后，它會像以前一樣產(chǎn)出相同的水平。

　　報告指出，最初，當(dāng)俄羅斯與歐佩克成員國一起努力控制產(chǎn)量時，其石油公司削減的產(chǎn)量相對較少，速度緩慢，僅持續(xù)幾個月。

　　到2020年，這些公司被要求削減的幅度更大、速度更快，削減的時間也要更長。

　　如此長時間的停產(chǎn)，有些井可能永遠(yuǎn)無法重啟。

　　油井閑置的時間越長，壓力變化的可能性就越大，同時含水量的變化也會導(dǎo)致油井再次無法使用。

　　歐佩克+將于本周晚些時候召開會議，討論其產(chǎn)量控制協(xié)議的下一步措施。

　　早期報道稱，為了應(yīng)對需求的快速反彈，該組織正在考慮從8月開始增加供應(yīng)。

　　馮娟 摘譯自 Neftegaz.RU

　　原文如下：

　　Russia is struggling to boost oil production

　　According to these sources, Russia has been producing some 10.42 million bpd of crude oil and condensates since the start of the month, which is lower than May’s average of 10.45 million bpd.

　　The reason for the decline could be related to difficulties with boosting production at older fields, other sources, also unnamed, told Reuters.

　　There was talk about such difficulties as early as last year when OPEC+ 1st agreed to take some 7.7 million bpd off the market in response to the demand destruction caused by the pandemic.

　　According to oil industry executive Evgeny Kolesnik, who spoke to Bloomberg in May 2020:

　　Mass sealing of oil wells is a much more serious thing than short-term idling in the Russian climate conditions

　　It’s by far not a given that after a well has remained shut-in for so long it will pump at the same levels as before

　　Initially, the report noted, when Russia had joined OPEC members in their production control efforts, its oil companies cut a relatively small portion of production, slowly, and for a few months only.

　　In 2020, these companies were asked to cut much deeper and much faster, as well as for much longer.

　　With such long production suspension, there is the risk of never being able to restart some of the wells.

　　The longer a well sits idle, the more likely pressure changes become, as well as water content changes capable of rendering the well unusable ever again.

　　OPEC+ is meeting later this week to discuss the next steps in its production control agreement.

　　Early reports said the cartel was mulling over bringing additional supply online from August in response to the fast rebound in demand.

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