據(jù)阿納多盧新聞12月16日消息稱，由于病例激增，國際能源機(jī)構(gòu)(IEA)將其對2021年和2022年全球石油需求的預(yù)測較上月下調(diào)了約10萬桶/天。

根據(jù)國際能源署周二發(fā)布的石油市場報(bào)告，2021年全球石油需求將增加540萬桶至9620萬桶，到2022年將再增加330萬桶，屆時全球石油需求將恢復(fù)到大流行前的水平，即9950萬桶/天。

該機(jī)構(gòu)將其修訂歸因于為阻止病毒傳播而采取的新遏制措施，預(yù)計(jì)這些措施將對航空旅行和噴氣燃料消耗產(chǎn)生直接影響。

該機(jī)構(gòu)說：“新冠肺炎病例的激增預(yù)計(jì)將減緩但不會破壞正在進(jìn)行的石油需求復(fù)蘇。2021年第四季度全球石油需求將增加近100萬桶/天，至9860萬桶/天，然后在2022年第一季度減少74萬桶/天。”

國際能源署表示，11月全球石油供應(yīng)增加97萬桶，至9837萬桶/天，主要是美國、加拿大、沙特阿拉伯和伊拉克的產(chǎn)量增加，正在縮小需求缺口。

該機(jī)構(gòu)稱，11月全球原油日供應(yīng)量也較上年同期增加近200萬桶。

11月，歐佩克原油產(chǎn)量達(dá)到2775萬桶/天，比上月增加了31萬桶/天。

非歐佩克產(chǎn)油量也增加了66萬桶，達(dá)到6541萬桶/天。

朱佳妮 摘譯自 阿納多盧新聞

原文如下：

Int. Energy Agency oil demand forecast down due to surge in COVID-19 cases

The International Energy Agency (IEA) revised down its global oil demand estimates for 2021 and 2022 by around 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) compared to last month's assessment due to the new surge in COVID-19 cases.

Global oil demand is now set to rise by 5.4 million bpd to 96.2 million bpd in 2021 and a further 3.3 million bpd in 2022, when it returns to pre-pandemic levels at 99.5 million bpd, according to the IEA's oil market report on Tuesday.

The agency attributed its revision to the new containment measures put in place to halt the spread of the virus, which are projected to have an immediate impact on air travel and jet fuel consumption.

'A new surge in COVID-19 cases is expected to slow, but not derail, the recovery in oil demand that is underway. World oil demand is on track to rise by nearly 1 million bpd in 4Q21 to 98.6 million bpd before falling seasonally by 740,000 bpd in 1Q22,' the agency said.

The IEA said global oil supply increased by 970,000 bpd in November to 98.37 million bpd, led by production increases from the US, Canada, Saudi Arabia and Iraq, which was closing the gap in demand.

World supply in November was also up by nearly 2 million bpd year on year, the agency said.

OPEC crude oil production reached 27.75 million bpd in November, recording an increase of 310,000 bpd compared to the previous month.

Non-OPEC production also saw an increase of 660,000 bpd to 65.41 million bpd.

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