據(jù)EnergiesNet.com網(wǎng)12月28日?qǐng)?bào)道，根據(jù)道瓊斯市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，美國(guó)原油期貨周二攀升至11月底以來(lái)的最高水平，此前連續(xù)四天上漲超過(guò)1%，這是自2020年5月底以來(lái)的最大漲幅，由于冬季需求以及寄希望于冠狀病毒的奧密克戎變體對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響有限，購(gòu)買(mǎi)是合理的。

不過(guò)分析師表示，圣誕節(jié)和新年假期期間成交量較低，可能會(huì)加劇市場(chǎng)波動(dòng)。

原油價(jià)格上漲也得到了一些支持，此前英國(guó)表示，隨著該地區(qū)感染病例的增加，將不會(huì)對(duì)消費(fèi)者出行施加任何進(jìn)一步的限制，但它正在評(píng)估該疾病對(duì)醫(yī)院的影響。

由于全球各地與新冠病毒相關(guān)的工作人員短缺，航班取消阻礙了假日旅行，但美國(guó)疾病控制和預(yù)防中心(U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)已將新冠感染者的建議隔離期從10天縮短至5天，因?yàn)樽罱某醪窖芯勘砻鳎c其他新冠株相比，奧密克戎變種可能更具傳染性，但不那么嚴(yán)重。

紐約商品交易所2月交付的西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油 CLG22, 1.10% CL.1, 1.09% 上漲1.16美元，漲幅1.6%，達(dá)到每桶 76.75 美元，而周一美國(guó)基準(zhǔn)上漲2.4%。

斯巴達(dá)資本證券（Spartan Capital Securities）首席市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家彼得·卡迪略（Peter Cardillo）在每日?qǐng)?bào)告中寫(xiě)道，原油價(jià)格上漲超過(guò)一個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，現(xiàn)貨油接近77美元，隨著對(duì)需求的“恐懼因素”消退，很有可能達(dá)到我們80美元的短期目標(biāo)。

繼一天前上漲3.2%之后，2月全球基準(zhǔn)布倫特原油BRNG22 0.92%在ICE歐洲期貨交易所上漲1.18美元，漲幅1.5%，至每桶79.40美元。

然而，一些經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家認(rèn)為病毒傳播是全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的障礙。據(jù)《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》報(bào)道，穆迪分析公司(Moody 's Analytics)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家馬克·贊迪(Mark Zandi)將其對(duì)美國(guó)明年第一季度國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(gdp)增長(zhǎng)的預(yù)期從5.2%下調(diào)至2.2%，因?yàn)樗罢J(rèn)為第一季度的經(jīng)濟(jì)損失會(huì)越來(lái)越大”。經(jīng)濟(jì)疲軟可能會(huì)拖累石油吸收。

展望未來(lái)，投資者正在關(guān)注歐佩克+定于1月4日召開(kāi)的會(huì)議。

OPEC+將評(píng)估其從2月開(kāi)始將其成員國(guó)的石油日產(chǎn)量提高到40萬(wàn)桶的計(jì)劃，或根據(jù)新冠病毒的傳播調(diào)整其產(chǎn)量。

郝芬 譯自 EnergiesNet.com

原文如下：

Mark DeCambre/MarketWatch -U.S. oil futures Tuesday climb again, heading for 5th day of gains

U.S. crude oil futures Tuesday were climbing to levels not seen since late November, after four straight days of gains of more than 1%, the biggest streak since late May of 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data, as winter demand, and hopes that the omicron variant of coronavirus would have only limited impact on economic growth, justified buying.

However, low trading volumes amid the Christmas and New Year holiday may be amplifying volatility, analysts said.

The rise in crude prices also gained some support after the U.K. said that it would not impose any further restrictions on consumer mobility as COVID infections rise in the region, though it was reviewing the impact of the disease on hospitals.

Holiday travel has been impeded by flight cancellations resulting from COVID-related staff shortages around the globe, but the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has reduced the recommended isolation period for people infected with COVID-19 to 5 days from 10 as recent preliminary studies have suggested the omicron variant may be more transmissible but less severe than other COVID strains.

West Texas Intermediate crude for February delivery CLG22, 1.10% CL.1, 1.09% was trading $1.16 higher, or 1.6%, to reach $76.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after the U.S. benchmark rose 2.4% on Monday.

“Crude oil prices are up over a full point with spot oil nearing $77, and could very well reach our short-term target of $80 as the ‘fear factor’ over demand subsides,” wrote Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities, in a daily note.

February Brent crude BRNG22, 0.92%, the global benchmark, advanced $1.18, or 1.5%, to trade at $79.40 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, following a 3.2% gain a day ago.

However, some economists see the spread of the virus as a hurdle for global economic growth. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, downgraded his first-quarter U.S. gross domestic product forecast to 2.2% growth from 5.2% as he “can see the economic damage mounting going into the first quarter,” The Wall Street Journal reported. A weaker economy could be a drag for oil uptake.

Looking ahead, investors are watching for a meeting between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, which is scheduled for Jan. 4.

OPEC+ will assess its plans to boost daily oil production among its members to 400,000 bpd starting in February or adjust its output to factor the spread of COVID.