據(jù)油價網(wǎng)4月13日消息，西方石油公司首席執(zhí)行官Vicki Hollub表示，二疊紀盆地的石油產(chǎn)量尚未達到峰值。

這位高管認為，二疊紀盆地石油產(chǎn)量的增長甚至可以抵消美國其他頁巖盆地產(chǎn)量的下降。

根據(jù)美國能源信息署(EIA)的數(shù)據(jù)，二疊紀盆地本月的原油產(chǎn)量將從每天559.6萬桶增加至562.2萬桶，頁巖區(qū)塊的總產(chǎn)量預計為921.4萬桶/天。

然而，正如路透社所指出的那樣，盡管二疊紀盆地3月至4月的月度產(chǎn)量變化將使總產(chǎn)量達到歷史新高，但這也將是自去年12月以來最小的月度增長。換句話說，產(chǎn)出可能在增長，但增長速度在放慢。

然而，如果價格繼續(xù)攀升，這種情況可能會改變。據(jù)Hollub的同行先鋒能源公司高管Scott Sheffield表示，油價很可能會大幅攀升。他在本周早些時候也曾說，如果油價突破每桶90美元，那么今年晚些時候就可能達到每桶100美元，然后在一段時間內保持在90至100美元區(qū)間。

Sheffield認為，未來價格上漲的主要原因是供應緊張。他在上個月的先鋒能源公司財報電話會議上首次預測了這些價格水平，并在歐佩克+表示將進一步削減其116萬桶的日產(chǎn)量后，于本周重申了這一預測。

與此同時，頁巖地區(qū)的石油產(chǎn)量雖然可能增長緩慢，但從天然氣價格走勢可以看出，總產(chǎn)量正在上升。據(jù)路透社報道，本月早些時候，天然氣價格跌至30個月來的最低水平，跌破2美元/百萬英熱單位。

報告稱，天然氣價格暴跌的原因在于頁巖油產(chǎn)量的增加，導致伴生氣產(chǎn)量激增。

ClearView Energy董事總經(jīng)理Jacques Rousseau向路透社表示，“美國大約三分之一的天然氣產(chǎn)量來自油井生產(chǎn)的伴生氣。鑒于目前的油價，產(chǎn)量不太可能下降”。

何勝男 編譯自 油價網(wǎng) 

原文如下： 

Permian Oil Production Hasn’t Peaked Yet 

The Permian basin has not yet seen peak oil production, according to Occidental’s chief executive Vicki Hollub. 

The executive believes that growth in the play’s production rates will even offset declines in other shale basins across the United States. 

According to the Energy Information Administration, the Permian will produce 5.622 million bpd of crude oil this month, up from 5.596 million bpd. Total production from the shale patch is seen at 9.214 million bpd. 

However, as Reuters noted, although the Permian’s monthly output change from March to April would bring total production to a record high, it would also be the smallest monthly increase since December. In other words, output may be growing, but the growth is slow. 

This could change, however, if prices climb higher. According to Hollub’s fellow shale major executive Scott Sheffield, prices may well climb higher—significantly. If oil breaks $90 per barrel it could hit $100 later this year, Sheffield said earlier this week, and then stay in the range of $90-$100 for some time. 

The main reason for the higher prices that Sheffield sees ahead is tight supply. He first forecast these price levels last month during Pioneer’s earnings call and reiterated it this week, after OPEC+ said it would cut an additional 1.16 million bpd from its combined output. 

Meanwhile, oil output from the shale patch may be slow on the rise but it is rising, as suggested by natural gas price movements. Earlier this month, gas prices plunged to the lowest in 30 months, according to Reuters, dipping below $2 per mmBtu. 

The reason for the plunge, according to the report, was rising shale oil production, which led to a surge in associated gas production. 

"about a third of U.S. gas production is associated gas - produced from oil wells. This production is unlikely to decline given current oil prices," ClearView Energy managing director Jacques Rousseau told Reuters.