英國(guó)將有足夠的天然氣來(lái)滿足今年夏季需求，其中大部分天然氣供應(yīng)將來(lái)自英國(guó)北海和挪威

英國(guó)預(yù)計(jì)將向歐洲輸送天然氣，盡管對(duì)天然氣出口的需求可能低于去年

由于天氣變暖，英國(guó)的夏季往往是天然氣需求較低的時(shí)期

據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2023年4月18日?qǐng)?bào)道，英國(guó)國(guó)家天然氣輸送公司在其《2023年夏季展望》報(bào)告中表示，今年夏天，英國(guó)將有足夠的天然氣供應(yīng)來(lái)滿足需求，天然氣供應(yīng)將主要來(lái)自英國(guó)北海和挪威，輔以液化天然氣進(jìn)口。

此外，英國(guó)國(guó)家天然氣輸送公司預(yù)計(jì)，今年夏天英國(guó)將持續(xù)向歐洲輸送天然氣。

英國(guó)國(guó)家天然氣輸送公司表示：“我們預(yù)計(jì)國(guó)家運(yùn)輸系統(tǒng)可能再次被用作向歐洲輸送天然氣的中轉(zhuǎn)站，然而，我們預(yù)計(jì)對(duì)英國(guó)出口天然氣的需求將不會(huì)像去年那樣高。”

然而，報(bào)告稱，目前還不清楚今年夏天將看到英國(guó)有多少天然氣出口到歐盟。

英國(guó)國(guó)家天然氣輸送公司表示，去年夏天，由于2021/2022年冬季結(jié)束時(shí)整個(gè)歐盟的天然氣庫(kù)存較低，以及開(kāi)始削減通過(guò)管道向歐洲出口天然氣后的供應(yīng)擔(dān)憂，英國(guó)通過(guò)互聯(lián)管道向歐盟出口的天然氣達(dá)到了創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄水平。

今年夏天，前景看起來(lái)更加光明，至少目前是這樣，這要?dú)w功于歐洲在今冬結(jié)束時(shí)的高水平天然氣庫(kù)存。

英國(guó)國(guó)家天然氣輸送公司系統(tǒng)運(yùn)營(yíng)總監(jiān)Ian Radley在報(bào)告中表示：“由于價(jià)格差異的縮小和遠(yuǎn)期價(jià)格曲線的縮小，有跡象表明歐洲未來(lái)能源市場(chǎng)將更加穩(wěn)定。”

由于天氣變暖，從4月到9月的夏季往往是英國(guó)國(guó)家運(yùn)輸系統(tǒng)需求較低的時(shí)期，因?yàn)槿藗冃枰^少的天然氣來(lái)取暖。

在今天的另一份報(bào)告中，英國(guó)國(guó)家電網(wǎng)ESO表示，預(yù)計(jì)今年夏天始終將有足夠的可用供應(yīng)來(lái)滿足需求。

李峻 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

The UK Will Have Enough Natural Gas For The Summer

·     The UK will have enough natural gas to meet summer demand, with most of the supply coming from the UK North Sea and Norway.

·     The UK is anticipating sending gas to Europe, although demand for exports is likely to be lower than last year.

·     The summer period in the UK tends to be a period of lower demand due to warmer weather.

The UK will have enough natural gas supply to meet demand this summer, with supply coming mostly from the UK North Sea and Norway, supplemented by LNG imports, the UK’s National Gas Transmission said in its Summer Outlook 2023.

Moreover, National Gas Transmission expects to see sustained flows of gas from the UK into Europe this summer.

“We are anticipating that the NTS could again be used as a transit for gas flows going into Europe, however, we don’t expect demand for exports from GB will be as high as it was last year,” the company said.

Yet, it is unclear what level of exports we will see going to the EU over the summer, according to the report.

Last summer saw record levels of UK gas exports to the EU via the interconnectors due to the low storage stocks across the EU at the end of the 2021/2022 winter and supply concerns after it was started to slash exports via pipelines to Europe, National Gas Transmission said.

This summer, the outlook looks brighter, at least for now, thanks to the high level of gas stockpiles in Europe at the end of this winter. 

“There are hints of greater stability in the energy market going forward as price differentials narrow and forward price curves reduce,” Ian Radley, System Operations Director at National Gas Transmission, said in the report.

The summer period – from April to September – tends to be a period when the UK sees lower demand on the National Transmission System (NTS) due to warmer weather, as people require less gas to heat their homes.

In a separate report today, the UK’s National Grid ESO said it expects there would be sufficient available supply to meet demand at all times this summer.