???? 據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2021年3月5日奧斯陸報(bào)道，挪威著名能源研究和商業(yè)情報(bào)公司雷斯塔能源公司

????（Rystad）在本周發(fā)布的一份新分析報(bào)告中表示，運(yùn)營(yíng)商預(yù)計(jì)將在未來(lái)5年內(nèi)開(kāi)發(fā)創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄數(shù)量的海上油氣項(xiàng)目，其中深水項(xiàng)目的增加將最為驚人。

????挪威這家能源研究公司在其分析報(bào)告中定義，當(dāng)超過(guò)25%的新建資本支出通過(guò)合同授予時(shí)，該項(xiàng)目就是“已承諾”的項(xiàng)目。

????海上油氣開(kāi)發(fā)將從新冠肺炎疫情大流行造成的價(jià)格和需求沖擊中復(fù)蘇，這迫使運(yùn)營(yíng)商削減開(kāi)發(fā)支出并推遲項(xiàng)目。Rystad表示，在截至2025年的5年期間，海上油氣開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目承諾將創(chuàng)造新的紀(jì)錄。

????海上石油已開(kāi)始顯示出從去年危機(jī)中復(fù)蘇的跡象，自2015-2016年的上一次低迷以來(lái)，成本已大幅削減。Rystad去年表示，深水石油的盈虧平衡點(diǎn)已經(jīng)降至低于美國(guó)頁(yè)巖油供應(yīng)的水平，使深水油田成為全球最便宜的新石油供應(yīng)來(lái)源之一。

????在其本周發(fā)布的最新報(bào)告中，這家挪威著名能源研究公司公司預(yù)計(jì)，2021年至2025年期間，海上油氣開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目承諾數(shù)量將達(dá)到592個(gè)，高于2016-2020年期間的355個(gè)，也高于2011 - 2015年期間的478個(gè)。

????Rystad預(yù)計(jì)，未來(lái)5年，全球深水油氣開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目的承諾數(shù)量將呈現(xiàn)出最令人印象深刻的增加，從2016-2020年的106個(gè)增加到181個(gè)，而在此之前的5年，深水項(xiàng)目承諾數(shù)量將從106個(gè)增加到115個(gè)。

????在2014年和2015年油價(jià)暴跌以后，鉆機(jī)和海上供應(yīng)船的日費(fèi)率下降，在深海和偏遠(yuǎn)水域?qū)ふ掖笮托掠吞锏慕?jīng)濟(jì)可行性大大提高。Rystad能源服務(wù)分析師Rajiv Chandrasekhar表示，“這為那些對(duì)深水油氣開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目感興趣的公司提供了重要支持?！?/p>

????李峻 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

????原文如下：

????Offshore Oil & Gas Projects Set For Record Recovery

????Operators are expected to commit to developing a record number of offshore oil and gas projects over the next five years, with deepwater projects set for the most impressive growth, Rystad Energy said in a new report this week.

????The energy research firm has defined in its analysis a project as ‘committed’ when more than 25 percent of its overall greenfield capital expenditure (capex) is awarded through contracts.

????Offshore oil and gas development is not only set to recover from the pandemic shock to prices and demand, which forced operators to slash development expenditures and delay projects. It is set for a new record in project commitments in the five-year period to 2025, according to Rystad Energy.

????Offshore oil has already started to show signs of emerging from last year’s crisis, as costs have been slashed since the previous downturn of 2015-2016. Deepwater oil breakevens have dropped to below those of U.S. shale supply, making deepwater one of the cheapest new sources of oil supply globally, Rystad Energy said last year.

????In its new report this week, the energy research firm expects 592 offshore project commitments between 2021 and 2025, up from 355 projects in the 2016-2020 period and up from the 478 project commitments in the period 2011 to 2015.

????Over the next five years, deepwater is set to show the most impressive growth in the number of commitments, with the number of projects rising to 181 from 106 in 2016-2020 and 115 in the five years before that, Rystad Energy has estimated.

????“The search for large new fields in deep and remote waters became much more economically viable after dayrates for drilling rigs and offshore supply vessels fell in the wake of the oil price crash in 2014 and 2015. This offers significant support for companies interested in deepwater,” said Rajiv Chandrasekhar, energy service analyst at Rystad Energy.