????據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)站3月19日消息 盡管有猜測(cè)稱(chēng)，石油需求在2019年達(dá)到峰值，當(dāng)時(shí)全球新冠疫情還未對(duì)石油行業(yè)造成嚴(yán)重打擊，但國(guó)際能源署（IEA）的一份新報(bào)告顯示，由于2026年之前石油需求將繼續(xù)增加，這一假設(shè)可能被夸大了。

????可再生能源的創(chuàng)新和對(duì)Covid-19流感的需求減少，使專(zhuān)家們相信石油時(shí)代正在慢慢失去動(dòng)力。然而，隨著亞洲市場(chǎng)的增長(zhǎng)和許多國(guó)家恢復(fù)到疫情前的需求水平，情況可能并非如此。

????根據(jù)國(guó)際能源署的最新報(bào)告，未來(lái)兩年內(nèi)對(duì)石油的需求可能達(dá)到疫情前的水平。到2023年，如果全球需求在亞洲的推動(dòng)下繼續(xù)保持目前的增長(zhǎng)速度，石油產(chǎn)量可能超過(guò)1億桶/日。

????盡管大多數(shù)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的石油需求可能不會(huì)恢復(fù)到疫情前的水平，但由于旅行和工作的變化，在過(guò)去一年中，需求下降了，而且看來(lái)還會(huì)繼續(xù)，電動(dòng)汽車(chē)和其他可再生能源的使用也會(huì)增加，發(fā)展中國(guó)家以及中國(guó)等主要消費(fèi)者的需求可能是這一需求的主要驅(qū)動(dòng)力。

????王磊 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)

????原文如下：

????IEA: Asia To Account For 90% Of Global Oil Demand Growth Through 2025

????Despite speculation that oil demand peaked in 2019, before the global pandemic hit the industry hard, a new IEA report suggests this assumption may have been overstated as demand is set to continue increasing until 2026.

????Innovations in renewable energy and the decreased demand in response to the Covid-19 pandemic made experts believe the oil era was slowly losing momentum. However, as the Asian market grows and many countries return to pre-pandemic demand levels, this may not be true.

????According to the new IEA report, demand for oil could hit pre-pandemic levels within the next two years. By 2023, oil production could exceed 100m bpd if world demand, driven significantly by Asia, continues at its current growth rate.

????While oil demand may not return to pre-pandemic levels in most developed countries, due to travel and work changes that have driven demand down over the last year and look set to stay as well as greater uptake of electric vehicles and other renewable options, demand across the developing world as well as major consumers like China could be the main drivers of this demand.