據(jù)1月5日彭博社報道，阿聯(lián)酋預(yù)計(jì)，在油價反彈支撐，該國經(jīng)濟(jì)將在2022年增長4.2%。

該國央行初步數(shù)據(jù)顯示，今年石油行業(yè)國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(gdp)將增長5%，高于去年的2%。非石油國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值預(yù)計(jì)將與2021年持平。盡管如此，在疫情影響下，經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測容易受到不確定性影響。

阿聯(lián)酋12月整體經(jīng)濟(jì)PMI為55.6,11月為55.9。

包括阿聯(lián)酋在內(nèi)的海灣國家在2020年遭受了雙重打擊，因?yàn)橐咔榈膫鞑グ殡S著原油價格下跌，而原油價格是該地區(qū)主要收入來源。2021年，隨著旅游限制放松和2020年迪拜世博會啟動，市場情緒有所好轉(zhuǎn)，吸引了數(shù)百萬游客。

然而，最近幾天阿聯(lián)酋每日新增病例已從不到一個月前的100例大幅增加至2000多例。

國際貨幣基金組織(International Monetary Fund)預(yù)計(jì)，阿聯(lián)酋經(jīng)濟(jì)今年增長率將超過3%，至少在2026年保持在相同水平。

王佳晶 摘譯自 彭博社

原文如下：

UAE Sees Oil Rebound Boosting Economic Growth Despite Covid Worries

The United Arab Emirates expects its economy to grow 4.2% in 2022, supported by a rebound in oil. 

Growth in the oil sector’s gross domestic product is set to be at 5% this year, an increase from last year’s 2% contraction, according to preliminary data from the country’s central bank. Non-oil GDP is expected to remain in line with 2021.

Still, “economic projections are susceptible to uncertainties amidst Covid-19 repercussions,” it said in a quarterly economic review. 

UAE Dec. Whole Economy PMI 55.6 vs 55.9 in Nov.

Gulf countries, including the UAE, were dealt with a double whammy in 2020 as the spread of the coronavirus pandemic was accompanied by a drop in crude prices, the main source of income for the region. Last year, sentiment was better as travel restrictions eased and Dubai’s Expo 2020 was launched, attracting millions of visitors. 

The UAE’s daily virus cases have increased to more than 2,000 in recent days, however, a sharp rise from below 100 cases less than a month ago. 

The International Monetary Fund expects the UAE’s economy to grow more than 3% this year and hover around the same levels into 2026 at least. 

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