據(jù)1月24日FXstreet報(bào)道，路透社最新民意調(diào)查顯示，海灣合作委員會(huì)（Gulf Cooperation Council）六個(gè)成員國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)將以幾年來最快的速度增長(zhǎng)。

調(diào)查結(jié)果還提到10位經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家中有9位表示，油價(jià)下跌和新疫情毒株，是今年海灣合作委員會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的最大威脅。

沙特阿拉伯預(yù)計(jì)將以5.7%的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)率位居榜首，其次是科威特和阿聯(lián)酋，分別為5.3%和4.8%。

2022年卡塔爾、阿曼和巴林的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)預(yù)計(jì)平均在3%-4%之間。如果可以實(shí)現(xiàn)的話，這將是這些國(guó)家?guī)啄陙硭娮C的最好成績(jī)。

十個(gè)受訪者中有八位表示，增長(zhǎng)預(yù)期面臨的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更偏向下行。

值得一提的是，油價(jià)保持堅(jiān)挺，加上近期圍繞俄羅斯和烏克蘭的地緣政治擔(dān)憂，也支撐了西得克薩斯中質(zhì)原油價(jià)格在周一歐洲會(huì)議前上漲逾1.0%。

王佳晶 摘譯自 FXstreet

原文如下：

Gulf economies to grow faster in 2022, oil price fall biggest threat – Reuters poll

“The economies in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council will grow at their fastest pace in several years,” per the latest Reuters poll.

The survey results also mentioned, “Nine of 10 economists who answered an additional question said a decline in oil prices and new coronavirus variants were the biggest threats to GCC economic growth this year.”

Key quotes

Saudi Arabia was predicted to top the list with growth of 5.7%, followed by Kuwait and UAE with 5.3% and 4.8% respectively.

Economic growth in Qatar, Oman and Bahrain was expected to average between 3%-4% for 2022. If realised, that would be the best these countries have witnessed in several years.

Eight of ten respondents said risks to their growth forecasts were skewed more to the downside.

Oil prices remain firmer…

The hawkish outlook for energy prices joins the recent geopolitical concerns surrounding Russia and Ukraine to also underpin WTI crude oil prices to gain over 1.0% by the press time of the pre-European session on Monday.

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