據(jù)彭博新聞社2022年8月5日報(bào)道，由于越來越多的跡象表明全球經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩抑制了需求，油價(jià)創(chuàng)下了今年4月初以來的最大單周跌幅。原油價(jià)格接近6個(gè)月來的最低水平。 

8月5日，西得克薩斯中質(zhì)原油價(jià)格報(bào)收于每桶89美元，本周收盤下跌近10%。美國汽油消費(fèi)量下降，引發(fā)了對需求的擔(dān)憂，而低流動(dòng)性加劇了波動(dòng)性。來自某歐佩克成員國的供應(yīng)有所增加，幫助縮小了關(guān)鍵原油期貨的時(shí)間套利，緩解了市場的緊張局面。  

這種回落在整個(gè)石油市場都很明顯。在8月5日結(jié)束的一周里，汽油期貨下跌18%。與此同時(shí)，原油現(xiàn)貨價(jià)差已經(jīng)收窄，布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨價(jià)差——兩份最接近合約的價(jià)差和衡量供應(yīng)的指標(biāo)——從一周前的每桶逾6美元降至每桶1.73美元。 

加拿大帝國商業(yè)銀行私人財(cái)富管理（CIBC Private Wealth Management）高級(jí)能源交易員麗貝卡?巴賓表示：“原油價(jià)格在一周內(nèi)突破多個(gè)技術(shù)位，這對超級(jí)周期的信徒來說是一場血洗。”“然而，這一行動(dòng)表明，這更像是買家罷工，而不是有意義的減倉，因?yàn)橘I家在圍繞需求的整體情況好轉(zhuǎn)之前會(huì)滿足于袖手旁觀。”

在今年前5個(gè)月大漲之后，原油價(jià)格漲勢已逆轉(zhuǎn)，繼6月和7月下跌之后，本月油價(jià)跌幅進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。低于平均水平的交易量加劇了拋售，這可能會(huì)在一定程度上緩解全球經(jīng)濟(jì)中的通脹壓力，這些壓力已促使包括美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)（FED）在內(nèi)的各國央行加息。

李峻 編譯自 彭博新聞社

原文如下：

Oil and Gasoline Futures Down Over 10% on the Week

Oil posted the biggest weekly decline since early April on growing signs that a global economic slowdown is curbing demand. Prices are near the lowest level in six months.

West Texas Intermediate settled at $89 a barrel, ending the week nearly 10% lower. US gasoline consumption has dropped, stoking demand concerns, while low liquidity has added to volatility. Supplies from one certain member of OPEC also picked up, helping to shrink key oil futures time-spreads and ease the tightness in the market.  

The pullback is evident across the oil market. Gasoline futures are down 18% this week. Meanwhile, physical oil differentials have narrowed and Brent’s prompt spread -- the difference between its two nearest contracts and a gauge of supply -- shrunk to $1.73 a barrel in backwardation, down from more than $6 a week ago.

“Crude broke several technical levels in a week that has been a bloodbath for super-cycle believers,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Management. “The action, however, indicates that this was more of a buyers’ strike than meaningful position reduction, as buyers are content to sit on the sidelines until the broader narrative around demand improves.”

After surging in the first five months of the year, crude’s rally has been thrown into reverse, with losses deepening this month after declines in June and July. The selloff, which has been exacerbated by below-average trading volumes, may alleviate some of the inflationary pressures coursing through the global economy that have spurred central banks including the US Federal Reserve to hike rates.